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Your Sure Way to Lasting Success in Trading the Markets

How should a trader deal with overconfidence? Maybe a better question about confidence--trading and otherwise--is not why people are overconfident to begin with, but why they stay overconfident. You see, the problem with overconfidence is not the innate bias toward optimism that most people seem to possess. Thats a good thing it keeps the world moving forward.

The problem is the inability to temper optimism as a result of prior experience. The truth is, we dont learn well enough from our mistakes. Consider this: If overconfidence is as big a problem as some say it is, it should be a short-term problem at worst. The learning process would ideally go something like this: We think highly of ourselves, the world and events show us who the boss really is, and we become less confident and more realistic about our knowledge and skills. Yet usually, this does not happen. Why? It seems to me that what we face as traders is that we fail to mix confidence with caution. It is when we are on a hot winning streak that we begin to think of ourselves and our trading as invincible. I cant count the number of times I have seen traders make a few nice sized wins and then watched them drift into a state of euphoria thinking to themselves: At last, Ive found the way to trade. They actually become giddy. They are so happy with themselves. But as the book of Proverbs so clearly states: Pride goes before a fall. Overconfidence leads to pride, even as far as arrogance. It is then when a trader must rein himself in and put up the wall of caution. When you are overconfident, you are ripe for a major setback in the market.

Joe Ross

Trading Educators Inc

Joe Ross

Joe Ross has been trading for more than 47 years, and is a well known Master Trader. He has survived all the up and downs of the markets because of his adaptable trading style, using a low-risk approach that produces consistent profits.

Joe is the creator of the Ross hook, and has set new standards for low-risk trading with his concept of "The Law of Charts?." Joe was a private trader for most of his life, but a serious health situation in the mid 80's caused him shift his focus and he decided to share his knowledge. After his recovery, he founded Trading Educators in 1988 to teach aspiring traders how to make profits using his trading approach.

He has written eleven major books on trading. All of them have become classics and have been translated into many different languages.

Joe holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Business Administration from the University of California at Los Angeles. He did his Masters work in Computer Sciences at the George Washington University extension in Norfolk, Virginia.

Joe still tutors, teaches, writes, and trades regularly. Joe is still an active and integral part of Trading Educators. He is the primary author of the company's newsletters "Chart Scan" and "Traders Notebook" and the host of the free Tuesday chat.